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Red1
445126.5
297426.8
99983.1
Blue0
99929.3
99919.7
999410.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61360208010010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.3
27.225.9
Auto2.9
Teleop21.0
End2.9
red by 16.3
9994
Unranked
10.50.8
12.011.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Second
26.51.3
26.925.6
Auto2.6
Teleop16.8
End7.1
red by 16.7
9991
Unranked
9.70.8
11.210.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.8
End3.2
Third
9998
#14
3.11.3
3.52.3
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.3
End-0.5
blue by 6.2
9992
Unranked
9.30.8
10.810.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End3.3