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Red31
15536.3
297426.8
28311.4
Blue57
349022.7
265520.6
99983.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524810203040607080903157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.4
28.627.2
Auto2.9
Teleop21.0
End2.9
red by 4.0
22.70.8
22.423.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End8.5
Second
283
#21
11.41.4
12.811.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End2.4
blue by 9.2
2655
#11
20.60.8
20.321.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Third
1553
#24
6.31.4
7.76.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.4
red by 3.2
9998
#14
3.10.8
2.83.5
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
17%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed