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Red33
10817.6
155312.6
51307.3
Blue11
42679.5
48236.9
662613.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33290102040503311

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#12
17.60.1
13.413.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End5.1
red by 4.3
6626
#51
13.32.2
10.07.8
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
Second
1553
#43
12.60.1
11.211.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End2.4
red by 3.1
4267
#38
9.52.2
9.77.5
Auto1.5
Teleop3.8
End4.1
Third
5130
#39
7.30.1
6.76.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End2.9
red by 0.4
4823
#56
6.92.2
7.95.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed