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Red46
74898.9
496518.9
136915.7
Blue22
74099.9
218712.4
53278.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373020253540454622

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#13
18.91.3
14.916.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End3.7
red by 6.5
2187
#35
12.40.8
10.19.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Second
1369
#14
15.71.3
14.515.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.6
red by 5.8
7409
#53
9.90.8
10.69.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End3.0
Third
7489
#44
8.91.3
5.26.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.7
End3.1
red by 0.6
5327
#57
8.40.8
8.17.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed