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Red76
261421.3
426522.9
255622.2
Blue55
549224.4
129321.8
34319.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60692040801007655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.4
19.820.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End3.5
blue by 1.6
5492
#28
24.40.2
24.424.1
Auto5.9
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Second
2556
#45
22.20.4
19.119.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End3.0
red by 0.3
21.80.2
21.821.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End4.0
Third
2614
#20
21.30.4
18.218.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End6.0
red by 1.7
343
#33
19.60.3
19.519.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End2.3