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Red76
395928.0
349025.2
3419.5
Blue95
261421.3
426522.9
255622.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776640601007695

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.1
28.028.0
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End3.3
red by 5.2
22.90.7
21.522.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Second
25.20.1
25.125.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End10.3
red by 3.0
2556
#45
22.20.7
20.821.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End3.0
Third
34
#12
19.50.1
19.419.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
blue by 1.8
2614
#20
21.30.7
19.920.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End6.0