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Red63
331916.3
348920.7
684615.0
Blue46
384415.1
396619.1
285615.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43461020305060706346

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.9
11.812.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End3.8
red by 1.6
3966
#18
19.10.2
17.217.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Second
3319
#19
16.30.8
15.516.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End3.5
red by 1.1
2856
#30
15.20.3
11.511.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End3.6
Third
6846
#38
15.01.4
13.314.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 0.1
3844
#22
15.10.3
14.714.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed