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Red58
129321.8
30116.3
349025.2
Blue28
630215.1
146616.3
153912.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5046304060705828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.9
23.324.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End10.3
red by 8.9
1466
#27
16.31.1
16.415.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Second
21.80.8
20.421.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 6.7
6302
#23
15.11.8
15.113.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Third
3011
#43
6.30.8
3.54.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.3
End2.8
blue by 6.3
1539
#41
12.61.2
12.311.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed