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Red54
17587.8
463015.0
348920.7
Blue48
502220.7
402032.1
28314.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306201020405070805448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.7
12.714.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End3.8
blue by 11.5
32.10.7
27.727.0
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End8.0
Second
4630
#16
15.02.8
11.714.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End4.3
blue by 5.7
5022
#24
20.70.8
17.216.4
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Third
1758
#17
7.81.7
4.15.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 6.2
283
#46
14.00.7
13.512.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsMissed