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Red26
398413.8
239322.6
285615.2
Blue74
446216.9
426522.9
238626.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51592040802674

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#26
22.61.5
23.522.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End6.1
blue by 3.7
26.31.2
22.824.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End9.4
Second
2856
#30
15.22.5
13.210.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End3.6
blue by 7.7
22.91.2
17.218.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Third
3984
#40
13.82.5
11.69.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End3.0
blue by 3.1
4462
#15
16.92.0
16.218.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned