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Red45
446216.9
57449.5
651719.0
Blue56
8018.6
504521.8
630215.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4744304050604556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#37
19.00.1
18.318.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End2.3
blue by 2.9
5045
#25
21.80.9
20.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End2.4
Second
4462
#15
16.90.1
17.517.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End3.8
red by 1.8
6302
#23
15.11.5
15.216.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Third
5744
#44
9.50.1
8.48.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 0.9
801
#35
8.60.9
5.76.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed