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Red63
398413.8
396619.1
93221.5
Blue52
47648.2
3419.5
502220.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534730405060706352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
932
#9
21.50.9
19.620.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End4.8
red by 0.8
5022
#24
20.70.5
19.620.2
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Second
3966
#18
19.10.9
18.619.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 0.4
34
#12
19.50.5
17.117.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
Third
3984
#40
13.81.4
12.013.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End3.0
red by 5.6
4764
#50
8.20.5
7.37.8
Auto4.8
Teleop1.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed