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Red41
754415.4
774215.6
622812.1
Blue53
78319.6
603815.8
745816.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413702060801004153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7742
#29
15.60.2
12.312.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End3.7
blue by 1.1
16.71.7
11.112.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Second
15.40.2
13.113.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
blue by 0.3
6038
#11
15.81.7
16.217.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End4.2
Third
6228
#20
12.10.2
13.613.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End4.3
red by 2.5
7831
#28
9.61.7
7.69.3
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsEarned