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Red38
78289.8
708618.7
754912.4
Blue41
783016.8
72989.6
707012.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393932343638404244463841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.1
16.316.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 1.9
16.82.1
14.512.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
Second
7549
#12
12.40.1
12.512.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.6
blue by 0.2
12.62.1
13.811.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Third
7828
#24
9.80.1
8.48.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 0.3
7298
#17
9.62.1
8.66.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed