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Red23
776111.6
63888.7
785110.7
Blue47
638016.1
78289.8
745816.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32370102050602347

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7761
#30
11.61.0
8.06.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End2.4
blue by 5.0
16.70.6
11.412.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Second
7851
#27
10.71.0
10.79.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End2.8
blue by 5.5
6380
#13
16.10.6
15.015.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Third
6388
#21
8.71.0
11.310.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
blue by 1.1
7828
#24
9.80.6
8.99.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed