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Red50
708618.7
603815.8
732914.9
Blue42
753612.0
774215.6
754912.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5341203060705042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.0
18.218.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 3.1
7742
#29
15.60.3
13.613.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End3.7
Second
6038
#11
15.80.0
18.518.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End4.2
red by 3.3
7549
#12
12.40.3
12.713.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Third
7329
#16
14.90.0
13.213.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 2.9
7536
#22
12.00.3
12.713.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed