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Red27
78319.6
74399.8
707012.6
Blue44
732914.9
776111.6
638016.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38401020305060702744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.60.8
14.013.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 3.5
6380
#13
16.10.6
15.215.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Second
7439
#25
9.80.8
10.910.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.6
blue by 5.1
7329
#16
14.90.6
13.814.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
7831
#28
9.60.8
10.810.1
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End3.4
blue by 2.0
7761
#30
11.60.6
8.49.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed