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Red33
63888.7
753612.0
708618.7
Blue32
601417.4
364614.0
775810.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43421020305060703332

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.7
18.217.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 1.3
6014
#15
17.40.7
17.817.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End2.3
Second
7536
#22
12.00.7
12.611.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 2.1
3646
#14
14.00.5
11.811.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End5.1
Third
6388
#21
8.70.7
9.68.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
blue by 1.7
7758
#10
10.50.7
10.19.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed