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Red39
638016.1
783016.8
78319.6
Blue30
603815.8
63888.7
643113.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060803930

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.4
15.515.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
red by 1.0
6038
#11
15.80.8
16.615.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End4.2
Second
6380
#13
16.10.4
15.815.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End1.8
red by 3.1
6431
#18
13.00.8
14.413.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Third
7831
#28
9.60.4
10.19.6
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End3.4
red by 0.9
6388
#21DQ
8.70.8
8.98.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed