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Red45
74697.2
601417.4
566514.7
Blue70
732914.9
606426.5
775810.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052102030607080904570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6014
#15
17.40.6
17.117.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End2.3
blue by 9.1
26.50.9
25.025.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.1
End5.9
Second
5665
#23
14.70.6
14.114.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.3
blue by 0.1
7329
#16
14.90.9
14.415.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
7469
#26
7.20.5
6.67.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End2.6
blue by 3.3
7758
#10
10.50.8
10.110.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed