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Red73
698625.3
575413.4
445129.1
Blue72
580518.5
727710.3
637729.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706040801007372

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#18
29.10.3
29.329.6
Auto3.4
Teleop17.7
End8.0
blue by 0.3
6377
#35
29.40.4
29.329.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.8
End7.2
Second
6986
#11
25.30.3
23.523.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.6
End7.7
red by 6.8
5805
#53
18.50.4
18.118.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.4
Third
5754
#51
13.40.3
13.113.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.2
red by 3.1
7277
#64
10.30.4
9.910.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned