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Red71
631514.8
775314.5
347826.3
Blue58
657918.2
749414.9
283923.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556102040801007158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#38
26.31.2
25.526.7
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End6.7
red by 2.6
2839
#39
23.80.2
23.923.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End6.2
Second
6315
#56
14.81.2
13.614.8
Auto2.1
Teleop9.8
End2.9
blue by 3.3
6579
#44
18.20.2
18.318.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
7753
#47
14.51.2
13.314.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
blue by 0.4
7494
#52
14.90.2
15.114.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned