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Red56
762114.4
168325.3
396618.5
Blue93
461328.4
698625.3
328428.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608540801005693

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#30
25.30.0
24.624.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.6
End5.3
blue by 3.5
3284
#14
28.90.4
29.029.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.7
End4.9
Second
3966
#55
18.50.0
19.019.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.2
blue by 9.9
28.40.4
29.830.2
Auto3.4
Teleop16.6
End8.3
Third
7621
#50
14.40.0
13.013.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End5.0
blue by 10.9
6986
#11
25.30.4
22.122.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed98%HAB Docking oddsEarned