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Red79
631514.8
109422.2
667227.7
Blue58
445129.1
412518.5
587218.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737250607080907958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.4
28.327.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End8.5
blue by 1.4
4451
#18
29.10.7
29.528.8
Auto3.4
Teleop17.7
End8.0
Second
1094
#41
22.20.4
24.323.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End6.7
red by 3.7
4125
#49
18.50.7
21.320.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Third
6315
#56
14.80.4
16.816.4
Auto2.1
Teleop9.8
End2.9
blue by 3.3
5872
#57
18.10.7
17.717.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsMissed