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Red85
546819.0
602521.9
393731.1
Blue90
283923.8
451324.0
319628.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67762040601008590

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#17
31.11.5
29.230.7
Auto4.1
Teleop24.4
End2.6
red by 3.1
3196
#33
28.01.2
26.327.4
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End9.0
Second
6025
#29
21.91.5
17.118.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.9
blue by 2.2
4513
#15
24.01.2
22.723.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End2.1
Third
5468
#58
19.01.5
16.718.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 4.8
2839
#39
23.81.2
23.524.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
35%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed89%HAB Docking oddsEarned