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Red76
186825.4
637729.4
273328.5
Blue77
347826.3
328428.9
501227.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80915060701001101207677

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#35
29.40.0
28.028.0
Auto4.4
Teleop17.8
End7.2
red by 0.6
3284
#14
28.90.6
29.428.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.7
End4.9
Second
2733
#21
28.50.0
22.422.4
Auto3.4
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 1.1
5012
#23
27.50.6
28.928.3
Auto5.3
Teleop19.2
End2.9
Third
1868
#26
25.40.0
25.625.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End7.0
blue by 0.9
3478
#38
26.30.6
27.526.9
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned31%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned81%HAB Docking oddsMissed