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Red49
766112.4
445129.1
440116.1
Blue80
607216.8
461328.4
69579.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64602040801004980

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#18
29.11.0
28.827.8
Auto3.4
Teleop17.7
End8.0
red by 0.8
28.40.8
30.231.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.6
End8.3
Second
4401
#63
16.11.0
18.417.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End4.4
blue by 0.7
6072
#32
16.80.8
16.517.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Third
7661
#46
12.41.0
13.112.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.0
red by 2.7
6957
#62
9.70.8
9.710.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsEarned