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Red52
76448.6
763215.2
764515.6
Blue45
99856.8
99874.7
767316.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4229010205060705245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End6.0
blue by 0.8
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Second
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
red by 8.5
9985
#16
6.80.0
6.86.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.9
Third
7644
#12
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 3.9
9987
#14
4.70.0
4.74.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking odds10%HAB Docking odds