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Red59
998813.4
770915.2
61919.8
Blue45
752714.9
752621.2
99893.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141203050605945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
#18
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End3.9
blue by 6.0
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End4.7
Second
13.40.0
13.413.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 1.5
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Third
6191
#13
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
red by 6.0
9989
#10
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds1%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking odds13%HAB Docking odds