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Red26
578312.3
129617.2
47999.3
Blue46
754015.4
697418.7
430115.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34420102030506070802646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.7
14.613.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End4.2
blue by 1.5
18.70.0
15.615.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Second
5783
#18
12.30.4
11.310.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End1.9
blue by 3.4
4301
#14
15.60.0
14.614.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
4799
#22
9.30.4
6.46.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 6.1
7540
#11
15.40.0
9.49.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed