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Red50
14832.3
764912.5
181716.8
Blue40
588813.8
473410.7
46945.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402710205060705040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
32.31.4
23.324.7
Auto5.0
Teleop20.7
End6.5
red by 18.5
5888
#27
13.80.1
8.68.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Second
1817
#13
16.81.4
11.112.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.6
End1.6
red by 6.1
4734
#25
10.70.1
8.88.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End2.9
Third
7649
#23
12.50.8
3.14.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End1.4
red by 6.6
4694
#26
5.90.1
8.78.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed