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Red34
47999.3
52126.7
336612.3
Blue56
129617.2
753410.9
14832.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295110204060703456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3366
#12
12.30.4
13.113.6
Auto1.7
Teleop9.5
End1.1
blue by 20.0
148
#1
32.30.8
25.826.7
Auto5.0
Teleop20.7
End6.5
Second
4799
#22
9.30.4
7.98.4
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 7.9
17.20.8
12.313.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End4.2
Third
5212
#24
6.70.7
6.47.1
Auto0.7
Teleop5.7
End0.3
blue by 4.2
10.90.8
10.511.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsEarned