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Red26
471710.2
415319.6
30373.8
Blue51
697418.7
261315.2
75738.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33361020304050602651

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.3
21.721.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End5.2
red by 0.9
18.71.1
15.917.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Second
10.20.3
5.75.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.4
blue by 5.0
2613
#17
15.21.1
12.213.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End5.1
Third
3037
#28
3.80.5
3.53.0
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.2
blue by 4.4
7573
#20
8.21.9
6.07.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed