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Red36
586616.6
753410.9
754015.4
Blue12
30373.8
56138.1
47999.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4320010304050603612

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.3
16.316.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 7.3
4799
#22
9.30.5
8.47.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Second
7540
#11
15.40.3
13.012.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End3.7
red by 7.3
5613
#21
8.10.5
7.47.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End2.8
Third
10.90.5
11.310.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.5
red by 7.1
3037
#28
3.80.7
3.02.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed