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Red45
129617.2
415319.6
265711.1
Blue15
336612.3
46945.9
46414.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502810204060704515

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.4
21.521.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End5.2
red by 7.3
3366
#12
12.30.8
13.312.5
Auto1.7
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Second
17.20.5
15.214.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End4.2
red by 11.3
4694
#26
5.91.1
6.85.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Third
2657
#15
11.10.5
11.010.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End2.9
red by 6.2
4641
#29
4.91.2
6.85.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed