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Red29
336612.3
613310.8
430115.6
Blue19
47999.3
46414.9
753410.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4027010205060702919

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4301
#14
15.60.6
15.715.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.6
red by 4.8
10.90.6
12.411.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Second
3366
#12
12.30.6
12.511.9
Auto1.7
Teleop9.5
End1.1
red by 3.0
4799
#22
9.30.4
7.67.2
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Third
6133
#19
10.80.9
10.19.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End2.5
red by 5.9
4641
#29
4.90.6
5.65.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed