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Red56
14832.3
46945.9
471710.2
Blue40
727114.2
265711.1
541712.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443902060805640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
32.30.7
29.029.7
Auto5.0
Teleop20.7
End6.5
red by 18.0
7271
#10
14.20.4
14.113.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.4
End3.4
Second
10.20.5
7.47.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.4
blue by 2.3
5417
#16
12.50.6
12.211.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
4694
#26
5.90.7
5.66.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End0.5
blue by 5.2
2657
#15
11.10.6
10.59.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed