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Red49
697418.7
129617.2
541712.5
Blue36
631514.9
336612.3
471710.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5038010203060704936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.1
19.119.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 3.8
14.90.0
15.315.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End3.4
Second
17.20.1
15.916.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End4.2
red by 4.9
3366
#12
12.30.0
11.511.5
Auto1.7
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Third
5417
#16
12.50.1
12.312.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 2.3
10.20.0
9.09.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed