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Red55
261315.2
586616.6
764912.5
Blue34
430115.6
613310.8
56138.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44360204060805534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.7
16.317.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 1.0
4301
#14
15.60.0
15.315.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Second
2613
#17
15.20.7
13.914.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End5.1
red by 4.4
6133
#19
10.80.0
10.710.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End2.5
Third
7649
#23
12.50.7
11.512.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End1.4
red by 4.4
5613
#21
8.10.0
7.97.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed