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Red32
50527.4
271416.4
367916.1
Blue26
258312.2
510311.8
41816.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374101001502003226

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
#17
16.414.5
23.79.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End3.2
blue by 0.1
418
#12
16.61.4
14.713.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Second
3679
#11
16.11.0
12.511.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
red by 3.9
2583
#10
12.21.4
12.110.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.4
End3.4
Third
5052
#15
7.41.0
12.111.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.5
blue by 4.3
5103
#36
11.81.4
11.910.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed