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Red38
62421.5
664615.9
632113.1
Blue9
288116.8
76217.9
29504.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45381020304050389

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#7
21.50.5
17.917.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End5.5
red by 4.7
16.83.3
13.410.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End5.4
Second
15.90.5
12.411.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 8.0
7621
#31
7.97.6
14.46.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End2.7
Third
6321
#13
13.10.5
12.511.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End5.0
red by 8.3
2950
#28
4.83.3
12.28.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed