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Red33
356111.8
38349.3
367916.1
Blue40
27896.5
367621.1
6478.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343002060801001201403340

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#11
16.10.1
14.814.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 5.0
21.11.3
15.516.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End2.9
Second
3561
#25
11.80.1
9.69.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.8
red by 3.5
647
#21
8.31.3
6.37.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.7
Third
3834
#20
9.30.1
7.97.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End4.0
red by 2.7
2789
#29
6.51.3
6.57.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed