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Red44
41816.6
461020.8
75119.6
Blue33
271416.4
618012.2
713811.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3926010203050604433

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.5
15.916.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 4.4
2714
#17
16.41.0
10.211.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Second
418
#12
16.60.5
13.814.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End3.6
red by 4.4
6180
#27
12.21.0
7.98.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Third
7511
#14
9.60.5
6.97.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End3.3
blue by 1.6
7138
#24
11.11.0
6.27.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed