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Red42
367621.1
28487.5
632113.1
Blue45
550312.5
713811.1
288116.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393310205060704245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.5
16.817.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End2.9
red by 4.3
16.81.2
13.114.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End5.4
Second
6321
#13
13.10.5
11.311.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End5.0
red by 0.6
5503
#16
12.51.2
10.712.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End2.9
Third
2848
#35
7.50.5
9.19.6
Auto4.2
Teleop0.9
End2.4
blue by 3.6
7138
#24
11.11.2
7.28.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed