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Red42
787210.0
635715.6
461020.8
Blue46
76217.9
367916.1
664615.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413410203050604246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.0
16.116.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 4.7
3679
#11
16.11.5
14.516.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
15.60.0
12.212.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
blue by 0.3
15.91.5
12.914.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
7872
#34
10.00.0
10.210.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End2.4
red by 2.1
7621
#31
7.91.5
4.96.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed