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Red46
461020.8
29504.8
27214.1
Blue46
66644.2
510311.8
374310.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2930010204050604646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 9.0
5103
#36
11.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End3.0
Second
2950
#28
4.8
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End2.8
blue by 6.0
3743
#18
10.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.9
Third
2721
#33
4.1
Auto1.2
Teleop0.9
End2.0
blue by 0.1
6664
#30
4.2
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed