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Red40
6478.3
62421.5
356111.8
Blue72
635715.6
664615.9
637723.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415320306070804072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#7
21.50.1
20.921.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End5.5
blue by 2.2
23.70.8
23.224.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End6.5
Second
3561
#25
11.80.1
10.710.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 4.1
15.90.8
13.514.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
647
#21
8.30.1
7.37.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.7
blue by 7.2
15.60.8
13.013.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsEarned