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Red68
62425.2
589222.7
383411.6
Blue52
542717.0
125516.6
611114.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6151304070806852

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
25.20.2
24.524.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End7.5
red by 8.2
5427
#22
17.00.1
16.917.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Second
22.70.2
22.122.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End7.4
red by 6.2
1255
#10
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End6.0
Third
3834
#16
11.60.2
11.011.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End4.5
blue by 3.2
6111
#23
14.80.1
14.714.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8