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Red71
458721.4
541421.6
64887.9
Blue46
432816.1
749214.7
46398.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4942203060707146

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.5
20.220.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.9
red by 5.5
4328
#12
16.10.1
16.316.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End3.8
Second
21.40.6
19.820.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End5.4
red by 6.7
14.70.2
14.915.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.1
End6.3
Third
6488
#34
7.90.6
6.37.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 0.1
4639
#19
8.10.1
8.38.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End3.6