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Red38
125516.6
589222.7
541421.6
Blue12
582911.8
383411.6
64887.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3829010205060703812

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.3
11.912.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End7.4
red by 11.0
5829
#26
11.81.7
10.28.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Second
21.60.3
14.214.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.9
red by 10.0
3834
#16
11.61.0
8.87.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End4.5
Third
1255
#10
16.60.3
9.49.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End6.0
red by 8.6
6488
#34
7.91.7
8.36.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed